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  • 史永勝, 施夢琢, 丁恩松, 洪元濤, 歐陽. 基于CEEMDAN–LSTM組合的鋰離子電池壽命預測方法[J]. 工程科學學報, 2021, 43(7): 985-994. DOI: 10.13374/j.issn2095-9389.2020.06.30.007
    引用本文: 史永勝, 施夢琢, 丁恩松, 洪元濤, 歐陽. 基于CEEMDAN–LSTM組合的鋰離子電池壽命預測方法[J]. 工程科學學報, 2021, 43(7): 985-994. DOI: 10.13374/j.issn2095-9389.2020.06.30.007
    SHI Yong-sheng, SHI Meng-zhuo, DING En-song, HONG Yuan-tao, OU Yang. Combined prediction method of lithium-ion battery life based on CEEMDAN–LSTM[J]. Chinese Journal of Engineering, 2021, 43(7): 985-994. DOI: 10.13374/j.issn2095-9389.2020.06.30.007
    Citation: SHI Yong-sheng, SHI Meng-zhuo, DING En-song, HONG Yuan-tao, OU Yang. Combined prediction method of lithium-ion battery life based on CEEMDAN–LSTM[J]. Chinese Journal of Engineering, 2021, 43(7): 985-994. DOI: 10.13374/j.issn2095-9389.2020.06.30.007

    基于CEEMDAN–LSTM組合的鋰離子電池壽命預測方法

    Combined prediction method of lithium-ion battery life based on CEEMDAN–LSTM

    • 摘要: 針對目前鋰離子電池壽命預測結果不準確的問題,提出了一種多模態分解的鋰離子電池組合預測模型,從而學習鋰離子電池退化過程的微小變化。該方法在單一長短期記憶(LSTM)預測模型的基礎上,采用了自適應噪聲完全集成的經驗模態分解(CEEMDAN)算法將鋰電池容量分為主退化趨勢和若干局部退化趨勢,然后使用長短期記憶神經網絡(LSTMNN)算法分別對所分解的若干退化數據進行壽命預測,最后將若干預測結果進行有效集成。結果表明,所提出的CEEMDAN?LSTM鋰離子電池組合預測模型最大平均絕對百分比誤差不超過1.5%,平均相對誤差在3%以內,且優于其他預測模型。

       

      Abstract: As a new generation of new energy battery, lithium-ion battery is widely used in various fields, including electronic products, electric vehicles, and power supply, due to its advantages of high energy density, light weight, long cycle life, small self-discharge, no memory effect, and no pollution. With the wide application of lithium-ion battery, numerous research on its performance has been done, including its health assessment as one of the hot spots. Repeated charging and discharging of a lithium-ion battery that was run under full charge state results to internal irreversible chemical changes leading to a fall in the maximum available capacity. Specifically, a decline to 70%–80% of the rated capacity results in lithium-ion battery failure. Battery failure may lead to electrical equipment damage, resulting in safety accidents. Therefore, it is of great significance to predict the remaining usable life of lithium-ion battery for improving system reliability. In this paper, a combination prediction model for lithium-ion batteries with multimode decomposition was presented based on the long and short-term memory (LSTM) prediction model to learn about small changes in its degradation process. A complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise (CEEMDAN) algorithm was used to divide the capacity into main degradation trend and some local degradation trend. Long Short-Term Memory Neural Network (LSTMNN) algorithm was then introduced to perform the capacity prediction of decomposed degradation data. Finally, some prediction results were integrated effectively. The maximum mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of the proposed CEEMDAN–LSTM lithium-ion battery combination prediction model does not exceed 1.5%. The average relative error is less than 3%, which is better than the other prediction model.

       

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