• <noscript id="y4y0w"><source id="y4y0w"></source></noscript>
    <table id="y4y0w"><option id="y4y0w"></option></table>
  • <li id="y4y0w"></li>
    <noscript id="y4y0w"></noscript>
    <noscript id="y4y0w"><kbd id="y4y0w"></kbd></noscript>
    <noscript id="y4y0w"><source id="y4y0w"></source></noscript>
    <menu id="y4y0w"></menu>
    <table id="y4y0w"><rt id="y4y0w"></rt></table>
  • 基于IDBO-BP神經網絡的巷道圍巖松動圈厚度預測模型

    IDBO–BP neural-network-based model for predicting the thickness of the excavation damaged zone of roadway surrounding rock

    • 摘要: 松動圈厚度是巷道圍巖穩定性評價不可或缺的關鍵參數,準確預測松動圈厚度對于地下工程安全具有重要意義. 本文選取能夠充分反映松動圈特征的五個關鍵因素,巷道埋深、巷道跨度、掘進斷面積、巖體單軸抗壓強度以及節理發育程度作為松動圈厚度的預測指標. 在蜣螂優化(DBO)算法的基礎上,通過引入Chebyshev混沌映射、黃金正弦策略和動態權重系數,構建了一種多策略融合的改進蜣螂優化算法(IDBO),并將其用于優化BP神經網絡的初始權值和閾值,從而構建了基于IDBO–BP神經網絡的松動圈厚度預測模型. 利用102組松動圈實例數據對該模型的適用性和可靠性進行了驗證. 同時,采用Spearman相關性分析評估了各預測指標與松動圈厚度之間的相關程度,并通過R2、MAE、MBE和RMSE等指標對IDBO–BP神經網絡模型的預測性能進行了系統評價. 最后,將所構建模型應用于某金礦不同埋深巷道的松動圈厚度預測,以進一步驗證其工程應用效果. 結果表明:在5個預測指標中,節理發育程度與松動圈厚度的相關性最強,掘進斷面積最弱;相比于BP和DBO–BP模型,IDBO–BP預測模型對于訓練集與測試集的預測位置偏離程度更小,預測精度更高;與SVM、RF、PLS、BP、DBO–BP相比,IDBO–BP的R2值最接近1,MAE、MBE和RMSE值最小,表明IDBO–BP預測性能最好、迭代速度最快,預測精度最高;IDBO–BP模型對三個水平巷道的松動圈厚度預測平均誤差為8.2%,相較于BP和DBO–BP模型,分別減少了9.3%和5.3%,預測精度得到較大提升,進一步證明了所提模型的可靠性.

       

      Abstract: The accurate estimation of the thickness of the excavation damaged zone (EDZ) is a fundamental and indispensable parameter for evaluating the stability of roadway surrounding rock and for ensuring the safety of underground engineering structures. In this study, five key factors that sufficiently reflect the characteristics of the EDZ were carefully selected as predictive indicators. These factors include the burial depth of the roadway, the span of the roadway, the cross-sectional area of the excavation, the uniaxial compressive strength of the rock mass, and the degree of joint development. Based on the dung beetle optimization (DBO) algorithm, a multi-strategy enhanced version, referred to as the improved dung beetle optimization algorithm (IDBO), was developed by integrating Chebyshev chaotic mapping, the golden sine strategy, and a dynamic weighting coefficient. The integration of these methods and strategies provides a reinforced optimization mechanism within the DBO framework, which improves both the global search capability and the overall convergence behavior of the algorithm. Subsequent use of the IDBO algorithm to optimize the initial weights and thresholds of a backpropagation (BP) neural network resulted in the construction of the IDBO–BP neural network model, which is specifically designed for predicting the thickness of the EDZ. A total of 102 sets of EDZ engineering case data were used to verify the applicability, reliability, and predictive accuracy of the proposed model. Spearman correlation analysis—applied to examine the degree of association between the selected predictive indicators and EDZ thickness—allows for a quantitative evaluation of the relative influence of each factor. Several commonly used evaluation metrics, including the coefficient of determination (R2), mean absolute error (MAE), mean bias error (MBE), and root mean square error (RMSE), were employed to systematically assess the predictive performance of the IDBO–BP neural network model. Together, these evaluation metrics provide a comprehensive assessment of the prediction accuracy, generalization ability, and overall performance of the model. Application of the model to predict the EDZ thickness of roadway sections with different burial depths in a gold mine provided additional verification of its practical engineering applicability and predictive effectiveness. The results indicate that among the five predictive indicators, the degree of joint development exhibits the strongest correlation with the EDZ thickness, whereas the cross-sectional area of the excavation demonstrates the weakest correlation. Compared with the BP and DBO–BP models, the IDBO–BP model demonstrates markedly smaller deviations for both the training and testing datasets by reflecting improved predictive accuracy and more reliable behavior. When compared with other widely used models, including support vector machine (SVM), random forest (RF), partial least squares (PLS), BP, and DBO–BP, the R2 value of the IDBO–BP model is closest to 1, while this model simultaneously yields the lowest MAE, MBE, and RMSE values. Moreover, when applied to three horizontal roadways, the IDBO–BP model has an average prediction error of 8.2%, which represents reductions of 9.3% and 5.3% relative to the BP and DBO–BP models, respectively. These findings collectively indicate that the proposed IDBO-BP model has high predictive performance, iteration speed, and reliability, which further confirm its practical applicability and engineering value.

       

    /

    返回文章
    返回
  • <noscript id="y4y0w"><source id="y4y0w"></source></noscript>
    <table id="y4y0w"><option id="y4y0w"></option></table>
  • <li id="y4y0w"></li>
    <noscript id="y4y0w"></noscript>
    <noscript id="y4y0w"><kbd id="y4y0w"></kbd></noscript>
    <noscript id="y4y0w"><source id="y4y0w"></source></noscript>
    <menu id="y4y0w"></menu>
    <table id="y4y0w"><rt id="y4y0w"></rt></table>
  • 啪啪啪视频