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  • 基于生命周期評價的高寒高海拔露天金屬礦山碳排放核算及降碳路徑研究

    Carbon emission accounting and decarbonization pathways for high-altitude and cold-region open-pit metal mines: A life cycle assessment approach

    • 摘要: 隨著常規資源日益枯竭,高寒高海拔礦山的開發成為保障資源供給與推動產業升級的戰略選擇. 然而,在全球氣候變化及“雙碳”戰略背景下,采礦業作為高能耗、高排放的重要基礎產業,面臨嚴峻的低碳轉型挑戰. 高寒高海拔礦區因低溫低壓環境導致燃料燃燒效率、炸藥爆破效率及設備性能顯著低于常規區域,需額外消耗能源并產生更高碳排放. 為精準、科學核算高寒高海拔露天金屬礦山碳排放量,制定合理降碳路徑,實現礦山開采設計源頭減量. 本文基于生命周期評價框架,系統識別高寒高海拔露天礦山全流程碳排放源,界定采場尺度的碳排放核算邊界,綜合分析高海拔氣壓、氧氣含量對燃料燃燒及爆破效果的約束機制. 基于分析結果構建了融合高海拔參數、設備性能參數、開采設計參數及碳排放因子的多因素耦合碳排放核算模型,揭示礦山全流程開采環節–設備運行–碳排放溯源的協同機制. 以新疆某高寒露天金屬礦山為案例,開展模型應用及降碳路徑優化分析,基于礦山三維塊體模型定量評估單位質量礦巖排放量及全年排放總量,并結合礦山實際運營條件,從宏觀政策調控與微觀生產優化雙重視角,提出適應高寒高海拔環境的低碳發展策略. 研究成果為高寒高海拔露天金屬礦山碳排放核算、節能降耗及綠色轉型提供了理論依據與數據支撐,對“雙碳”目標下礦業綠色低碳發展具有重要參考價值.

       

      Abstract: Amid the depletion of conventional resources, the development of high-altitude cold-region mines has emerged as a strategic avenue to secure resource supplies and drive industrial upgrades. However, under the dual pressures of global climate change and the “dual carbon” (carbon peaking and carbon neutrality) goals, the mining industry—characterized by high energy consumption and substantial emissions—faces significant challenges in achieving a low-carbon transition. In high-altitude and cold-region mining areas, low-temperature and low-pressure environments significantly reduce fuel combustion efficiency, blasting performance, and equipment productivity, thereby increasing energy consumption and carbon emission intensity compared with conventional mining regions. To facilitate accurate and scientifically robust carbon accounting in high-altitude, cold-region open-pit metal mines—and to inform rational decarbonization pathways focused on source reduction in mine design—this study adopts a life cycle assessment framework to systematically identify emission sources across the entire production process and delineates the accounting boundaries at the mining field scale. A comprehensive analysis was conducted on the effects of high-altitude factors—specifically atmospheric pressure and oxygen concentration—on fuel combustion efficiency and blasting performance. Building on these insights, a multifactor-coupled carbon emissions accounting model was developed by integrating high-altitude environmental conditions, equipment performance metrics, mining design parameters, and carbon emission factors. This model elucidates the synergistic relationships among the various stages of mining operations, equipment functionality, and carbon emission traceability. The Sobol global sensitivity analysis method was employed to quantitatively evaluate the model sensitivity to input variability, enabling a robust assessment of the influence of each input parameter on the model output. The sensitivity analysis reveals that physical-mechanical parameters such as rock density, in conjunction with key operational factors such as equipment power and loading capacity, directly influence the carbon emission profile of the mining process. A high-altitude, cold-region, open-pit metal mine in Xinjiang was selected as a case study for model implementation and optimization of the decarbonization pathways. Using a three-dimensional block model, this study quantitatively assessed unit ore emission intensities and annual total emissions. The empirical findings demonstrate that seasonal climate variations, mining intensity fluctuations, and stripping ratios significantly influence overall carbon emission levels. In particular, fuel combustion and electricity consumption were identified as the primary emission sources, whereas transportation and crushing operations constituted the predominant contributors to total emissions. Under equivalent production conditions, high-altitude environments generated an additional 43183 t CO2 compared with that of conventional low-altitude regions. Based on the accounting and analysis of the case study, low-carbon development strategies for high-altitude and cold-region mines are proposed from both macro-policy and micro-production perspectives. At the micro level, strategic measures must focus on optimizing extraction schedules, upgrading electrically powered mining equipment, and designing energy-efficient haulage routes. At the macro level, policy recommendations must emphasize on promoting the substitution of fossil fuels with renewable energy sources, refining unified accounting standards, and implementing robust inspection and evaluation protocols. The multifactor-coupled carbon emission accounting model developed within the life cycle assessment framework provides a theoretical foundation and empirical reference for carbon accounting, energy conservation, consumption reduction, and the green transformation of high-altitude and cold-region open-pit metal mines. This study provides a valuable reference for informing the mining sector’s green and low-carbon development aligning with the “dual carbon” objectives.

       

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